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Joseph Carne-Ross

The following is a list of countries in the Middle East sorted by projected population.

Table

Rank Country
(or dependent territory)
2020
projection
Note 1
% of
pop.
Average annual growth Estimated
doubling
time
(years)
Note 2
Official
population
figure
(where
available)
Date of
last figure
Source
%
Note 3
Number
Note 4
1  Egypt 113,210,388[a] 22.53 1.94 1,981,000 31 98,850,000 April 17, 2025 [1]
2  Iran 89,351,259 18.51 1.30 1,001,000 54 79,622,000 April 17, 2025 [2]
3  Turkey 85,372,377[b] 18.63 1.09 909,452 64 83,614,362 December 31, 2023 [3]
4  Iraq 40,063,400 8.85 2.32 1,030,000 24 40,575,000 2020 [4]
5  Saudi Arabia 34,719,000 7.67 1.59 751,000 29 34,719,418 April 28, 2020 [5]
6  Yemen 29,710,300 6.56 2.28 766,000 24 29,719,300 April 28, 2020 [6]
7 Syria 17,425,600 3.85 2.45 557,000 29 21,377,000 April 28, 2020 [7]
8  Jordan 10,185,500 2.25 1.00 183,000 26 10,248,069 2020 [8]
9  United Arab Emirates 9,869,000 2.18 1.32 83,000 76 9,154,000 April 28, 2020 [9]
10  Israel 9,842,000 1.91 1.60 162,000 37 9,100,000 February 11, 2024 [10]
11  Lebanon 6,830,600 1.51 -0.44 75,000 39 6,830,600 April 28, 2020 [11]
12  Palestine (West Bank and Gaza Strip) 5,148,249 1.14 2.41 24 4,816,503 2020 [12]
13  Oman 5,081,600 1.12 2.65 204,000 14 4,966,100 April 17, 2025 [13]
14  Kuwait 4,259,500 0.94 1.51 121,000 23 4,259,500 April 28, 2020 [14]
15  Qatar 2,113,000 0.47 4.29 87,000 16 2,412,483 October 31, 2015 Monthly official estimate
16  Bahrain 1,690,900 0.37 3.68 122,000 10 1,701,000 April 28, 2020 [15]
Total 452,748,183 100.00 2.01 8,284,000 35 411,788,402

Note 1: Calculated, where available, from the latest national censuses or most recent official estimates (many of which are cited in their respective column), using the exponential formula shown on the List of countries by past and future population article. This is done to normalize the different populations to a unique date, so that they are really comparable.[clarification needed][Most of the official estimates are for dates after 2020, so is the projection doene backwards??]

Note 2: Assuming continuation of the same compound annual growth rate, i.e. based on the formula: LN(2)/LN(%growth/100+1), or equivalently: LOG10(2)/LOG10(%growth/100+1).

Note 3: From 2019 to 2020, i.e using the formula: (100 × projection2020/projection2019) − 100.

Note 4: It corresponds to the calculation: projection2015*annual_growth/100.[clarification needed][For clarity, this should be consistent with the calculation of the percentage annual growth.]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Most of the population is in Africa's part of Egypt. The rank would be different if only including the Middle East's part of Egypt (Sinai Peninsula).
  2. ^ Since Turkey's population is dominated in Istanbul, the rank would be different if only including the Middle East's part of Turkey.

References